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October 14, 2026      9:25 AM

The Battle of the Brands: Crosscurrents at Texas-OU Weekend

If Talarico or Hinojosa win, it gives Democrats a foothold in a state that Republicans absolutely must control if they have any hope of keeping the presidency. That’s why up to a half billion is being spent now to keep a Democrat out of statewide office

DALLAS – Taking the temperature of members and the lobby during Texas-OU weekend is always a revealing exercise, but this year presented a uniquely difficult political landscape to interpret. Amid competing crosscurrents, one overarching reality stands out: this election cycle is not a battle of the bands; it is a battle of the brands.

Nobody needs a reminder of how broken the Democratic brand is—that is a given. Instead, as hard as it may be to believe, it is the Republican brand that finds itself on trial.

With a 30%-approval president dominating the national conversation and throwing obstacles in the path of candidates down-ballot, the entire Republican strategy seems to rely on inflaming low-propensity, low-information voters just enough to stampede them to the polls.

Symptomatic of a tumultuous cycle, the chatter this past weekend exposed a party on the defensive. Consider the absurdity of rumors pushed by political bottom-feeders claiming that Democrat James Talarico had suffered a nervous breakdown and was in a mental hospital all because he stepped off the campaign trail for eight or nine days with the flu.

In retrospect, the flurry and velocity of the rumors this weekend were perversely funny. The Talarico Campaign has run nonstop for months, especially when contrasted to a largely invisible Ken Paxton. Even Fox News has chastised Paxton for being largely invisible. These smears reeked of desperation and were about as believable as the Senate Republican Leadership Committee’s ads against Talarico or Governor Greg Abbott’s mailers warning that Gina Hinojosa wants to put parents in jail over a child's gender.

But now, on to the real battlefield, the Texas House.

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By Harvey Kronberg

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October 14, 2026      9:03 AM

In audio leaked to Rolling Stone, Paxton says Abbott is struggling and the GOP will lose seats in the Texas Legislature

Reporter Nikki McCann Ramirez got the scoop:

Texas Senate candidate Ken Paxton warned that Governor Greg Abbott is struggling in his bid for reelection, made excuses for his own campaign issues, and conceded that Republicans will likely lose seats in the state legislature, according to audio of a private donor event obtained by Rolling Stone. “Yes, Abbott is struggling,” Paxton tells an attendee at a small, Washington, D.C., fundraiser on September 24, noting that despite the governor’s name ID and monetary advantage over Democrat Gina Hinojosa, the race is “still close.”

Later in the recording, Paxton says Republicans are on track to lose seats in the Texas House and Senate as well

“Whereas the rest of the ticket — who knows the Democrats? There’s not a single — like, if I said, ‘Who’s running for Texas AG as a Democrat?’ OK, moving down. ‘Who’s running as lieutenant governor?’ I don’t know. I can’t even name her name.” Still, Paxton ultimately predicts that Republicans are “going to probably lose some seats” in the Texas legislature.

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October 14, 2026      8:53 AM

Latest UT Poll Finds Higher Enthusiasm Giving Democrats an Edge

Via Jim Henson at the University of Texas Politics Project

“We just released the latest University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll, which provides yet more evidence that we’re watching a historically close election in Texas. The poll found several Democratic candidates enjoying razor-thin polling leads over their more well-funded Republican opponents amidst a clear partisan enthusiasm gap favoring Democrats. The poll was conducted September 25 - October 5, 2026 among 1200 registered voters, with trial ballot results presented among a sub-sample of 861 likely voters (LV), producing a margin of error of +/- 3.34 percentage points. The margin of error for results in the overall sample is +/- 2.83% (n=1200).”

Full poll here.

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October 12, 2026      8:05 PM

Kronberg: False Talarico mental health claims highlight the fact that Paxton isn't in control of his own campaign

On Spectrum News in Austin, QR Publisher Harvey Kronberg and Texas Capital Tonight James Barragan got into that and more

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October 11, 2026      6:56 PM

Updated: Mental health facility in Ohio confirms Rep. Talarico has never been treated there, refuting claims from MAGA influencers and Paxton supporters

The Paxton campaign did not weigh in on an unverified recording; Talarico’s campaign called it all “a lie” that’s “designed to promote a pathetic conspiracy theory.” Now the facility at the center of the story says it's all made up

MAGA social media influencers on Sunday released what they claimed were recordings that somehow prove Rep. James Talarico recently received treatment for a mental health breakdown – it’s a claim that Talarico’s campaign immediately blasted as “a lie” that’s “designed to promote a pathetic conspiracy theory.” Later in the evening, the mental health hospital at the center of the story released this one line statement: "Representative James Talarico has never received treatment from Lindner Center of Hope."

For the last few days, right-wing social media has been abuzz with questions about where exactly Rep. Talarico was when he didn’t appear on the campaign trail for at least 8 days or so in his bid for US Senate against Attorney General Ken Paxton.

Talarico’s campaign has maintained throughout that he’s been recovering from an illness at home. JT Ennis, spokesman for Talarico, responded to the release of the recordings by repeating that “Last week James Talarico was home in Austin, Texas recovering from the flu.”

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By Scott Braddock

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October 9, 2026      3:42 PM

People on the Move

Talarico spotted, association news, a big Houston promotion, and more

It seems that the mystery of “Where In the World is James Talarico” has been solved – he’s been spotted at ACL this afternoon, according to the social media. That won’t keep the conspiracy theorists from tweeting about it all day and night, though.

On the Quorum Report Radio podcast coming out tonight, I did place a call to the Ken Paxton “tip line” to let the campaign know that as a Central Texas resident, I have not seen Talarico in person lately and that I’ll update the situation as appropriate.

Also on the show: Harvey reports that some GOP women got up and walked out when Sen. Angela Paxton urged them to vote for her estranged husband. Seems that message wasn’t going over well even before Sen. Paxton starred in a TV commercial offering the same argument about the “Elephant in the Room.” Speaking of Harvey, he’s hanging out in Dallas for Texas-OU events this afternoon. Make sure to say “hi” if you see him.

The show will drop on your favorite podcast app this evening. Links to follow it on Apple and Spotify are on the QR homepage.

Meantime, some serious career news crossed my desk this week. To share your news – or someone else’s – just send it to ksbraddock@gmail.com anytime and use POTM in the subject line.

Here’s the latest edition.

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By Scott Braddock

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October 9, 2026      1:00 PM

Lynn Moak passed away

Former Rep. Dan Huberty and Dr. Buck Gilcrease penned this wonderful tribute to Lynn Moak, who passed away yesterday.

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October 7, 2026      8:55 AM

Kronberg says Sen. Paxton's commercial supporting her estranged husband seems to be falling flat with GOP women

QR Publisher Harvey Kronberg reports that some "women actually got up and walked out" when Sen. Paxton originally made the case to them that her estranged husband should get their votes. He and James Barragan talked about that and more on Texas Capital Tonight on Spectrum News

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October 7, 2026      8:31 AM

Latino leaders thank Gov. Pritzker for $1 million investment in Hinojosa campaign, step up argument for Democratic Governors Association to chip in

They’re now asking DGA for $3 million before the start of early vote

Latino leaders had the following reaction to Pritzker’s $1.2 million contribution:

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