August 1, 2022      4:26 PM
HK: Beto may have hit at least a temporary ceiling, but approval of Abbott keeps sinking
From Dave Carney to superior voter registration, Abbott already has a serious organization and Republicans typically come home. To win, O’Rourke must borrow a phrase from a formerly prominent officeholder: “You’re fired!”
Most political conversations
in Texas begin with, “Can Beto win?”
A correct response goes something
like this: “No, Beto cannot win on charisma and volunteers alone because incumbents
don’t get beat, they fired.”
O’Rourke cannot simply win
by force of ideas and personality; he must sell the firing of Greg Abbott.
There is no better “tell” than the now-viral internet ad produced by the all-volunteer
“Mothers Against Greg Abbott.” One of the group’s ads has more
than 3 million views at a cost of only $6,000.
This MAGA ad never even
mentions or endorses O’Rourke but rather, is all about firing Abbott.
Of course, incumbent Abbott
has huge advantages. The blueprint is clear – to morph O’Rourke into Joe
Biden and then focus on what the Republicans perceive as winning issues. Those
include a booming Texas economy during a recession across the United States.
Abbott has no shortage of
material on O’Rourke, much of it self-inflicted by the former Congressman including
guns, “defunding the police,” the “Green New Deal,” and the border just to name
But the Governor has a few
additional, if far less recognized tools in his toolbox.
By Harvey Kronberg